Is It All Clear if Procalcitonin Clears in Acute Pancreatitis?

Subramani Kandasamy

Division of Critical Care, Christian Medical College, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India

Corresponding Author: Subramani Kandasamy, Division of Critical Care, Christian Medical College, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India, Phone: +91-9486046929, e-mail: ksubramani9@hotmail.com

How to cite this article Kandasamy S. Is It All Clear if Procalcitonin Clears in Acute Pancreatitis? Indian J Crit Care Med 2020;24(3):149–150.

Source of support: Nil

Conflict of interest: None

The natural course of acute pancreatitis (AP) begins with an acute inflammatory response that lasts for up to 10 days. Milder forms constitute about 80%, which may not progress further with appropriate support organ dysfunction associated with this stage, while the severe form is seen in about 20% with an associated mortality of 40%.¹ Beyond the acute phase, complications, namely, infection and organ failure can arise, which can prolong the illness for months, leading to an increased mortality (40%). If patients likely to progress from moderately severe to severe pancreatitis can be identified early, close monitoring and aggressive treatment could be instituted to improve the outcome. This may involve transfer to advanced centers and would help in optimal resource allocation.

Severity of illness scoring systems and biomarkers have been used alone or in combination to classify the severity of pancreatitis and predict outcome with varying success.^2,3 Scoring systems can be general such as acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE), systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), or organ-specific such as bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP), Ranson’s score, Glasgow score, pancreatitis assessment scoring system (PASS), etc. By definition, APACHE is calculated 24 hours into intensive care unit (ICU) admission. The most commonly used scoring system is APACHE II, and the current literature shows a cutoff value of 8. Hence, it is a reliable predictor of outcome.⁴ Chatzicostas et al. compared Ranson’s score, APACHE II, and III and found all the three had similar predictability.⁵ Recently, APACHE II and APACHE IV scores have been compared with a cutoff of 8 and 45, respectively, and the latter has a better diagnostic capacity than APACHE II, BISAP, and Ranson’s criteria.⁶

In milder forms, markers with anti-inflammatory properties such as interleukin-10 (IL10) and in more severe forms, markers with proinflammatory properties IL1, IL6, IL8, and platelet activating factor (PAF), to name a few, are detected in higher concentrations. C-Reactive protein (CRP) is a marker secreted by the liver and thyroid during inflammation, and a level ≥150 mg/L has been suggested to be a good prognostic marker by day 3 of illness.¹ Procalcitonin (PCT), the inactive form of the hormone calcitonin, is secreted by the hepatocytes and the C cells of the thyroid gland and has been shown to be a good marker for bacterial sepsis. However, the levels are elevated by modest levels in other noninfectious inflammatory conditions too. In AP, it has been shown to be elevated and equivalent or a better marker than CRP (cutoff of 1.77 ng/mL).⁷ Mofidi et al. in a systematic review have shown that the sensitivity and specificity of PCT for the development of severe AP were 72% and 86%, respectively, with a cutoff value of 0.5 ng/mL and the overall area under the curve was 0.87.⁸

In trauma, with aseptic systemic inflammation—a scenario similar to early AP, the PCT levels increase by day 1 and then fall rapidly. However, in case of an associated infection, the PCT levels increase. Procalcitonin clearance has been studied as a prognostic marker in sepsis and septic shock. Suberviola et al. have shown that PCT clearance of 70% is a better marker than CRP and leukocyte count clearance for mortality prediction.⁹ Schuetz et al. have shown that in sepsis, PCT clearance of 80% from baseline by day 4 is associated with reduction in mortality, which otherwise doubles.¹⁰

In this issue, the Choudhuri et al.¹¹ have reported a prospective observational study comparing change in APACHE II score and PCT levels in patients admitted with pancreatitis. The admission APACHE and PCT were compared to APACHE and PCT at 48 hours of admission. Procalcitonin concentrations decreased in survivors and APACHE II score increased in nonsurvivors, and the change was more significant for PCT. The novelty of the study is the quantification of the change in PCT and APACHE II. This study is a single-center study with small sample size, and a larger multicenter study with quantification of change in both APACHE II score and PCT will be more useful.

The need of the hour is either a low cost marker or an easily calculable score at ICU admission to predict prognosis and guide treatment. The point-of-care PCT which is now available can be a good substitute in this regard.

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