Keywords :
Clinically significant bleeding, Dengue, India, Intensive care unit, Predictors
Citation Information :
Logia P, Parasuraman V, Rajagopalan RE. Predictors of Clinically Significant Bleeding in Thrombocytopenic Dengue Patients Admitted to Intensive Care Unit: A Retrospective Study. Indian J Crit Care Med 2023; 27 (12):888-894.
Background: Recognition of clinically significant bleeding (CSB) is vital for effective management of dengue patients. The primary objective was to identify the predictors of CSB among dengue patients and to formulate a simple scoring system. The secondary objective was to compare the grades of bleeding and severity of thrombocytopenia.
Materials and methods: We conducted a retrospective study of adults aged above 18 years with dengue, admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of a tertiary care hospital in South India from 2015 to 2021. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory variables on admission were collected. The association of clinically significant bleeding with the above parameters was assessed by univariate and multivariate analysis.
Results: A total of 9,817 dengue cases were hospitalized during the study period. A total of 120 patients with thrombocytopenia (<100000 cells/mm3) were admitted to the ICU and of them 38 (31.6%) had CSB. On univariate analysis fever, sequential organ function assessment (SOFA) score, elevated activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT), and altered sensorium were significantly associated with CSB. The multivariate model identified SOFA score [adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 1.52; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.11–2.08], temperature >38.3°C (aOR: 2.71; 95% CI: 1.1–6.47) and elevated aPTT > 40 seconds (aOR: 4.66; 95% CI: 1.42–15.3) as independent risk factors. A clinical predictive score was developed incorporating these three parameters. The performance of the score identified by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve [area under the curve (AUC): 0.81; 95% CI: 0.73–0.91] demonstrated a sensitivity of 81% and specificity of 77%.
Conclusion: This study revealed that temperature above 38.3°C, elevated aPTT, and an increase in SOFA score were identified as independent risk factors for CSB. A clinical predictive score derived from these variables can identify patients likely to develop CSB.
World Health Organisation. Dengue and severe dengue. Available at: https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/dengue-and-severe-dengue. 2023. Accessed on: 17 March 2023.
Shastri PS, Taneja S. Dengue and other viral hemorrhagic fevers. Indian J Crit Care Med 2021;25(Suppl. 2):S130–S133. DOI: 10.5005/jp-journals-10071-23814.
Ganeshkumar P, Murhekar MV, Poornima V, Saravanakumar V, Sukumaran K, Anandaselvasankar A, et al. Dengue infection in India: A systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2018;12(7):e0006618. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0006618.
Yacoub S, Wills B. Predicting outcome from dengue. BMC Med 2014;12:147. DOI: 10.1186/s12916-014-0147-9.
John KJ, Gunasekaran K, Prasad JD, Mathew D, Das S, Sultan N, et al. Predictors of major bleeding and mortality in dengue infection: A retrospective observational study in a tertiary care centre in South India. Interdiscip Perspect Infect Dis 2019;2019:4823791. DOI: 10.1155/2019/4823791.
Lye DC, Lee VJ, Sun Y, Leo YS. Lack of efficacy of prophylactic platelet transfusion for severe thrombocytopenia in adults with acute uncomplicated dengue infection. Clin Infect Dis 2009;48(9): 1262–1265. DOI: 10.1086/597773.
Wichmann O, Gascon J, Schunk M, Puente S, Siikamaki H, Gjørup I, et al. Severe dengue virus infection in travelers: Risk factors and laboratory indicators. J Infect Dis 2007;195(8):1089–1096. DOI: 10.1086/512680.
Carrasco LR, Leo YS, Cook AR, Lee VJ, Thein TL, Go CJ, et al. Predictive tools for severe dengue conforming to World Health Organization 2009 criteria. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2014;8(7):e2972. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002972.
Gupta V, Yadav TP, Pandey RM, Singh A, Gupta M, Kanaujiya P, et al. Risk factors of dengue shock syndrome in children. J Trop Pediatr 2011;57(6):451–456. DOI: 10.1093/tropej/fmr020.
Huy NT, Van Giang T, Thuy DHD, Kikuchi M, Hien TT, Zamora J, et al. Factors associated with dengue shock syndrome: A systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2013;7(9):e2412. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002412.
Zhang H, Zhou YP, Peng HJ, Zhang XH, Zhou FY, Liu ZH, et al. Predictive symptoms and signs of severe dengue disease for patients with dengue fever: A meta-analysis. Biomed Res Int 2014;2014:e359308. DOI: 10.1155/2014/359308.
Almas A, Parkash O, Akhter J. Clinical factors associated with mortality in dengue infection at a tertiary care center. Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health 2010;41:333–340. PMID: 20578516.
Thein TL, Leo YS, Fisher DA, Low JG, Oh HML, Gan VC, et al. Risk factors for fatality among confirmed adult dengue inpatients in Singapore: A matched case–control study. PLoS One 2013;8:e81060. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0081060.
Chamnanchanunt S, Kanagaraj D, Thanachartwet V, Desakorn V, Rojnuckarin P. Early predictors of clinically significant bleeding in adults with dengue infection. Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health 2012;43:890–899. PMID: 23077811.
Diaz–Quijano FA, Villar–Centeno LA, Martinez–Vega RA. Predictors of spontaneous bleeding in patients with acute febrile syndrome from a dengue endemic area. J Clin Virol 2010;49:11–15. DOI: 10.1016/j.jcv.2010.06.011.
Shivbalan S, Anandnathan K, Balasubramanian S, Datta M, Amalraj E. Predictors of spontaneous bleeding in Dengue. Indian J Pediatr 2004;71(1):33–36. DOI: 10.1007/BF02725653.
Orsi FA, Angerami RN, Mazetto BM, Quaino SKP, Santiago–Bassora F, Castro V, et al. Reduced thrombin formation and excessive fibrinolysis are associated with bleeding complications in patients with dengue fever: A case–control study comparing dengue fever patients with and without bleeding manifestations. BMC Infect Dis 2013;13:350. DOI: 10.1186/1471-2334-13-350.
World Health Organization. Dengue haemorrhagic fever: Diagnosis, treatment, prevention and control. World Health Organization; 1997.
Wong JGX, Thein TL, Leo YS, Pang J, Lye DC. Identifying adult dengue patients at low risk for clinically significant bleeding. PLoS One 2016;11(2):e0148579. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0148579.
Sureshkumar VK, Vijayan D, Kunhu S, Mohamed Z, Thomas S, Raman M. Thromboelastographic analysis of hemostatic abnormalities in dengue patients admitted in a multidisciplinary intensive care unit: A cross-sectional study. Indian J Crit Care Med 2018;22(4):238–242. DOI: 10.4103/ijccm.IJCCM_486_17.
Adane T, Getawa S. Coagulation abnormalities in dengue fever infection: A systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2021;15(8):e0009666. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.000 9666.
Sosothikul D, Seksarn P, Pongsewalak S, Thisyakorn U, Lusher J. Activation of endothelial cells, coagulation and fibrinolysis in children with dengue virus infection. Thromb Haemost 2007;97(4):627–634. PMID: 17393026.
Hamsa BT, Srinivasa SV, Prabhakar K, Raveesha A, Manoj AG. Significance of APTT as early predictor of bleeding in comparison to thrombocytopenia in dengue virus infection. Int J Res Med Sci 2019;7(1):67–70. DOI: 10.18203/2320-6012.ijrms20185094.
Vijayaraghavan, Ying TW, Weu FS, Palile H. Predictors of dengue shock syndrome: APTT elevation as a risk factor in children with dengue fever. J Infect Dis Epidemiol 2020;6(1):111. DOI: 10.23937/2474-3658/1510111.
Lee LK, Gan VC, Lee VJ, Tan AS, Leo YS, Lye DC. Clinical relevance and discriminatory value of elevated liver aminotransferase levels for dengue severity. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2012;6(6):e1676. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0001676.
Lee IK, Liu JW, Yang KD. Fatal dengue hemorrhagic fever in adults: Emphasizing the evolutionary pre-fatal clinical and laboratory manifestations. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2012;6(2):e1532. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0001532.
Lee VJ, Lye DCB, Sun Y, Fernandez G, Ong A, Leo YS. Predictive value of simple clinical and laboratory variables for dengue hemorrhagic fever in adults. J Clin Virol 2008;42(1):34–39. DOI: 10.1016/j.jcv.2007.12.017.
Laoprasopwattana K, Binsaai J, Pruekprasert P, Geater A. Prothrombin time prolongation was the most important indicator of severe bleeding in children with severe dengue viral infection. J Trop Pediatr 2017;63(4):314–320. DOI: 10.1093/tropej/fmw097.